Choose a price. Test the response.

A pricing case asks you to predict a response. Change the price and customers may buy less, switch products, negotiate harder or decide the offer is finally worth trying. The business earns a different amount per sale, but it may also serve a different number and mix of customers.

That is why cost-plus, competitor-based and value-based pricing are useful perspectives, rather than three competing answers you must choose between. Costs tell you what the business needs to earn. Alternatives shape the customer's choice. Value explains why the customer might pay more.

Use all three to form a proposal, then test its effect on the objective.

Establish what is being priced

Before choosing a number, define the offer, the customer and the unit they pay for. A software licence per employee, a subscription per factory and a fee per completed transaction create different incentives and revenue patterns.

Also establish whether you are pricing a new product, repricing existing customers or responding to a competitor. Raising an existing price creates migration and retention questions. A new offer requires evidence about adoption and a comparison with what buyers do today.

Suppose an industrial software company wants to price a predictive-maintenance service. It alerts a plant before equipment fails. The client wants a profitable launch, and the initial target is manufacturers with costly unplanned downtime.

The useful first question is: which plants obtain enough value to justify buying and implementing it?

Estimate value in the customer's economics

Assume a target plant loses £5,000 of contribution for each hour of unplanned downtime. The service is expected to prevent ten hours per year, creating £50,000 of annual benefit. Implementation and additional monitoring work cost the customer £10,000 in the first year.

That leaves £40,000 of first-year benefit before the software fee. At a £20,000 annual price, the plant would retain £20,000 of that benefit in year one under the stated assumptions.

Use lost contribution, rather than simply multiplying hours by sales. A stoppage may delay production that can be recovered later; some operating costs may also be avoided. Ask what the downtime figure represents before treating it as economic value.

The calculation is a way to understand the offer, not permission to charge £40,000. The customer may doubt the claimed improvement, prefer a cheaper preventive-maintenance option or require a substantial return for taking implementation risk.

For a second plant where downtime costs only £1,000 an hour, the same ten hours avoided create £10,000 of gross annual benefit. A uniform £20,000 price would be difficult to justify from this benefit alone. That suggests a narrower initial segment, a different package or a different commercial model.

Compare the alternatives the buyer actually considers

Ask what happens if the plant does not buy. It might continue with its existing maintenance schedule, add inspections, purchase a competing service or replace an unreliable machine.

Compare the outcomes and total costs of those options. A competitor's headline fee is incomplete if it excludes installation, requires extra staff or offers a different level of support.

This also helps explain your own price. “We are 10% cheaper than the competitor” is a position. “Our service gives this type of plant a better expected result after implementation costs” is a value proposition you can test.

The buyer's budget and decision process matter too. A plant manager may understand the operational benefit while a central procurement team controls the contract. Identify who must be persuaded and what evidence they need.

Quick Exhibit Drill

A start-up sells temperature sensors that prevent spoiled stock for a grocery wholesaler. The wholesaler already has a quote from a rival monitoring service.

SupplierAnnual priceSpoilage prevented per year
Start-up sensorsTo be set£90,000
Rival service£30,000£72,000

What is the highest annual price the wholesaler should rationally pay the start-up?

Choose your answer

Check what the client keeps from each sale

Suppose the service costs £5,000 per plant per year in hosting, monitoring and variable support. At a £20,000 fee, annual contribution is £15,000 per plant before acquisition costs and fixed development and operating costs.

If annual fixed costs are £600,000, 40 fully paying plants cover those costs at that contribution. This is a simplified steady-state break-even calculation. A launch with customers joining throughout the year, onboarding expenses and upfront development spending needs a cash and timing model as well.

Include the costs caused by the proposed offer. An attractive software margin can disappear if each customer needs extensive custom integration or high-touch support. Connect the price and package to what the business must deliver.

Do not use an allocated accounting cost as an automatic minimum price for every short-term decision. Equally, a price above variable cost does not establish a sustainable business: someone still has to pay for the fixed capability and investment.

Choose a pricing model that fits the value and the evidence

A fixed subscription per plant is simple to budget and administer. Charging per monitored machine may fit plants of different sizes, provided machine count is a reasonable guide to value and service cost.

An outcome-linked fee sounds appealing because the customer pays for results. The difficulty is agreeing how to measure downtime avoided. You cannot directly observe the breakdown that did not happen, and the plant's maintenance behaviour also affects the result.

Choose that model only when both sides can agree on a credible baseline, measurement process and allocation of risk. Otherwise the commercial dispute may cost more than the apparent alignment creates.

You can also use packages: core alerts, more detailed analytics or additional support. Make the differences useful to identifiable customer groups. Arbitrary complexity makes the sales discussion harder without necessarily improving the economics.

For a price increase, calculate how much volume you can lose

Now consider a separate repricing example. A business charges £100 per customer per period, with £40 variable cost. It proposes increasing the price to £110, keeping the service and variable cost unchanged.

MeasureCurrent priceProposed price
Price£100£110
Variable cost£40£40
Contribution per customer£60£70

To preserve total contribution, the business must retain £60 ÷ £70, or about 85.7%, of its original volume. It can lose about 14.3% before contribution falls, assuming fixed costs and customer mix stay the same.

With 1,000 original customers, current contribution is £60,000. Retaining 900 produces £63,000 at the new price. Retaining 800 produces £56,000.

That threshold is more informative than observing that the new margin is higher. It tells you what you need to learn about the customer response. If the customers who leave are disproportionately expensive to serve, model their contribution separately instead of assuming identical customers.

Test the response and recommend the next move

For a new product, use customer discussions to understand value and alternatives, then seek evidence of willingness to buy at the proposed terms. Enthusiasm for a concept is weaker evidence than a purchasing commitment.

For repricing, examine comparable past changes and use a controlled rollout where appropriate. Track realised price after discounts, retained volume, mix, support costs and contribution over a period long enough to observe renewal behaviour. Avoid calling the test a success simply because invoiced revenue rises in the first week.

Your recommendation should state the price or range, the customer segment, the pricing unit and the main uncertainty. For the maintenance service, that could be a £20,000 per-plant subscription tested first with plants whose avoidable downtime supports a compelling return, alongside explicit limits on custom support.

To practise the opening, try Industrial Hardware Pricing Pressure. Explain what customers would do differently at the proposed price and how that response changes the client's profit. If the trigger is a rival's discount, continue with the competitive-response framework.

Structure drill

Would your case structure convince an MBB interviewer?

Industrial Hardware Pricing Pressure

Connect customer response with contribution before recommending a price change. Present your approach to Casey, Case Room’s AI interviewer, then review feedback on your structure and starting point.

Quick Answer Repair Drill

A coworking operator trialled a desk membership price rise at two sites. Managers offered every existing member a discount to stay.

List price
£300 raised to £330 a month
Retention discount
£20 a month, every member
Variable cost
£120 per member a month

The analyst recommends rollout because 92% retention beats the 85.7% threshold. What is the flaw?

Choose your answer

Frequently asked questions

Framing the pricing question

What should I clarify before suggesting any price?

Define the offer, the customer and the unit they pay for before you name a number. A licence per employee, a subscription per factory and a fee per completed transaction each create different incentives and revenue patterns. The same headline price can therefore mean very different economics depending on the unit you choose.

Does it matter whether it is a new product or a price rise?

Yes, because each situation raises different questions. Raising an existing price creates migration and retention issues, since current customers may leave, switch or negotiate. A new offer has no existing customers to protect, so the focus shifts to whether buyers see enough value to try it. Responding to a competitor is a third situation to identify early.

Who counts as the competition in a pricing case?

Any option the buyer would realistically choose instead counts, not only rival products. In the plant example, that includes continuing the existing maintenance schedule, adding inspections, buying a competing service or replacing an unreliable machine. Asking what happens if the customer does not buy usually reveals the real reference point for your price.

Why isn't a competitor's price enough to benchmark against?

A competitor's headline fee is incomplete if it excludes installation, requires extra staff or offers a different level of support. Compare total costs and outcomes instead. For example, a cheaper rival that needs the plant to add staff may cost the buyer more overall than a higher fee that includes that work.

Working out value, contribution and break-even

How do I estimate what a customer would be willing to pay?

Start from the customer's own economics. In the example, a plant loses £5,000 of contribution per hour of unplanned downtime, and the service prevents ten hours a year. That gives £50,000 of benefit. Subtracting £10,000 of first-year implementation and monitoring costs leaves £40,000 of benefit before the software fee.

If the customer gains £40,000, why not charge £40,000?

At that price, the customer would keep nothing, which would leave little reason to switch or take on the effort of implementation. At a £20,000 fee, the plant keeps £20,000 of first-year benefit, which gives it a clear incentive to buy. The price shares the value between buyer and seller.

Should first-year and later-year value be treated the same?

Not necessarily. The £10,000 for implementation and additional monitoring is a first-year cost, which is why the example refers to £40,000 of first-year benefit. If some of that work does not recur, later years may leave more value for the customer. Check which costs are one-off before setting a multi-year price.

How many customers does the client need to break even?

Divide annual fixed costs by contribution per customer. With a £20,000 fee and £5,000 per plant for hosting, monitoring and variable support, contribution is £15,000. Annual fixed costs of £600,000 are therefore covered by 40 fully paying plants. Treat this as a simplified steady-state answer rather than a launch forecast.

Why might the simple break-even figure be misleading at launch?

It assumes every plant pays for a full year. At launch, customers join throughout the year, so the business earns fewer full years of fees and takes longer to break even than the 40-plant figure suggests. Acquisition costs also sit outside the £15,000 contribution, so they widen the gap.

How much volume can a business lose after a price rise?

Compare contribution per customer before and after the change. At £100 with £40 variable cost, contribution is £60. At £110, it is £70. Total contribution holds if the business keeps at least 60/70 of its volume, about 86 per cent. It can therefore lose roughly one customer in seven before profit falls.

Does the volume threshold account for discounts or customer mix?

No. It assumes every customer pays the full £110 and that variable cost stays at £40. If discounting reduces the price customers actually pay, or the customers who leave are the most profitable ones, the true margin of safety is smaller than the headline threshold suggests.

Choosing a model and testing it

Should I charge per plant, per machine or for outcomes?

Choose the model that best reflects how value and cost vary between customers. A fixed subscription per plant is simple to budget and administer. Charging per monitored machine suits plants of different sizes, provided machine count reasonably reflects value and service cost. Outcome-linked fees are appealing, but only if both sides can agree how to measure results.

Why is outcome-based pricing hard to make work?

You cannot directly observe a breakdown that did not happen. Charging for downtime avoided requires an agreed baseline of what would have happened without the service, and buyer and seller may each prefer a different baseline. Without a credible measure, disputes over the fee can outweigh the appeal of paying only for results.

How do I test a price for a new product?

Use customer discussions to understand value and alternatives, then look for evidence that customers will buy at the proposed terms. Enthusiasm for a concept is weak evidence. A purchasing commitment at the stated price is much stronger because it shows the customer accepts the actual terms, not just the idea.

How should I roll out a price increase safely?

Examine comparable past price changes first, then use a controlled rollout where appropriate rather than changing every price at once. Track the price customers actually pay after discounts, retained volume, mix, support costs and contribution. Judge the results over a long enough period to show the full customer response, not only the first reactions.

Pricing Case Framework: Strategy and Worked Example | Case Room